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Dubai saga leaves Indian banks, infrastructure, realty cos in limbo
 
MUMBAI: The Dubai debt fiasco rattled equity markets across the globe particularly battering realty, infrastructure and banking names, which have
 
their exposure to the emirate.

Dubai said on Wednesday it wanted creditors of Dubai World and property group Nakheel to agree a debt standstill as it restructures Dubai World. Dubai World's debt burden stands at $59 billion of the total $80 billion debt of the state. The government of Dubai has authorised the restructuring of Dubai World to be spearheaded by the Dubai Financial Support Fund.

Even as a number of corporates declared their non-exposure to the real estate sector in Dubai, investor sentiment was badly bruised.

"Dubai debt crisis came as a nasty surprise and acted as a trigger for the market, which was otherwise also ripe for correction and looking for some major trigger for correction. Though market participants were not confident and had no conviction to buy in to a market at upper band of trading range, bears were not having courage to push the sales aggressively. But yesterday's events in Dubai led to a panic situation; leading to sharp losses in many bank stocks across Asia and Europe; plus a general selling trend in eqities, and an appreciation in dollar.

What will be the real impact of the Dubai issue will depend upon how the newly appointed Dubai World's chief Aidan Berkett will handle the restructuring of this investment and property giant. But it has triggered much awaited correction in global equities, which can last longer then expected. So traders be cautious, lighten the long positions and wait for situation to calm down or let the restructuring happen or help to flow in from friends and neighbours of Dubai. For now, extreme caution is warranted," said DD Sharma, senior vice president-research at Anand Rathi Securities.




The Dubai government's announcement prompted Standard & Poor's and Moody's Investors Service to sharply cut their ratings on several government-related entities. Moody's slashed some units to junk status and S&P said the restructuring could be considered a default.

Engineering and construction firm, Punj Lloyd said it has no exposure in the real estate sector in Dubai. Developer DLF and Punjab National Bank also said they had no current exposure to Dubai.

On the other hand, engineering major Larsen & Toubro's exposure to Dubai is in the range of $20 million to $25 million. Bank of Baroda said it has total loan book exposure of 7-8 percent at around Rs 100 billion in the United Arab Emirates.

Other than Larsen & Toubro, which has been the most aggressive Indian company in the GCC region, smaller infrastructure companies, also have a strong presence.

In the banking space, Bank of Baroda is the most active with 10 branches in the Gulf, but mostly small banking exposure, mainly for remittances. Meanwhile, ICICI Bank which has three branches across the Gulf region said there is no material non-India linked exposure to Dubai corporates.

However, Krishna Sanghavi of Kotak Mahindra AMC was of the opinion that the exposure of Indian companies to Dubai being limited, it may not have a substantial impact on our markets. "From a pure India perspective, the financial markets are impacted by the global sentiment. Certain sectors may also be under pressure on account of their business in terms of realizing that the existing money lent or to be received from these geographies or to an extent of implications where the existing order book may not be implemented at the right time frame. However, it is difficult to find any particular sector with a substantial exposure to the geography which can have a grave impact on the business models or the financials of the companies. India continues to be a domestic consumption story although there are companies which have had a vision of expanding to newer geographies. However, in the overall international exposure, Dubai will have a relatively lesser presence and domestic investors need not be worried from an Indian market perspective," he said.

Dubai crisis: Which Indian companies may be affected
 
With dark clouds gathering around the global economy once again on concerns that two of Dubai-owned companies may default on their debt obligations, fledgling corporate India, which has begun spreading its wings globally in recent years, is feeling some impact here. India infrastructure companies especially have exposure to the Dubai economy and its once-booming real estate business.
Let's run a status-check on which companies, especially in the infrastructure sector, are exposed to Dubai and how it may impact their businesses.


YD Murthy, Executive VP - Finance of Nagarjuna Construction, said that the company has only one venture in Dubai, a 440-apartment project, and is going slow on it.
The company is also doing a Rs 100-crore water pipeline project at Dewa, Dubai. "There is no default payment problem at the Dewa project," Murthy said. "The company's Middle-East exposure is mostly to government-owned agencies," he added.
Larsen & Toubro has exposure in multiple segments in Middle East, R Shankar Raman, Executive VP - Finance told CNBC-TV18. "The company has exposure in the hydro-power segment. Our total exposure to the Middle-East over the last two years is to the tune of USD 200 million," he added.
The infrastructure player has no exposure to Dubai or real estate exposure in UAE, Luv Chhabra, Director of Corporate Affairs at Punj Lloyd said. "We are doing only oil & gas projects in Abu Dhabi where there are no concerns at all," he said. "40% of our order book comes from West Asia. The crisis has particularly hit the real estate sector in Dubai. No impact is expected in other states like UAE capital, Abu Dhabi."
MM Miyajiwala, Executive VP and CFO at Voltas, said the company is executing a Rs 900-crore project in Dubai as part of a joint venture where Voltas has 37% stake. "We are executing the project for Emaar and the client has fully funded the project. Thus, we are not anticipating any delays," he said. "Our order book is primarily from Abu Dhabi and Qatar. Dubai also has not defaulted on any of our payments."
Bank of Baroda has some real estate exposure to Dubai accounting to 5–6% of its loan book but CMD MD Mallya there won't be any impact. "Interest on all loans in Dubai have been paid till last due," he said. "Bank of Baroda has 10 branches in the Gulf region. It has small banking exposure, mainly for remittances in the region."
Mallya added that the bank also has exposure in Abu Dhabi, Ras-Al-Khaimah and Bahrain.
The company said it had not exposure to Dubai real estate.
DLF has no exposure to Dubai, it said.
The company does not have any direct/indirect investment in Dubai and West Asia, it said. "Any of the Indiabulls Group companies and in particular Indiabulls Real Estate doesn't have any direct or indirect investment in Dubai or Middle East," the group stated in a release.
Hirandanandi Group
The unlisted group is constructing a project in Dubai, 97% of which was already sold and 65% payment had been received, Chairman Niranjan Hiranandani said. "The Dubai market crash won't have any negative impact on the company."
Hiranandani added that Indian property prices should go up because of the Dubai market crash.
Omaxe is likely to exit its two real estate projects in Dubai. "We will soon decide on exiting the Dubai realty projects," Dow Jones quoted Omaxe Chairman Rohtas Goel as saying.
"We had planned a Rs 2,850 crore investment in Dubai," he said. "We have already paid Rs 50 crore to Nakheel as first instalment and may seek refund if we exit the Dubai project." He added that Omaxe was yet to receive possession of any land from Nakheel.
HDIL has no exposure to Dubai, it said.
Dubai World's investment arm, Istithmar, holds 13% stake in SpiceJet
The oil exploration company has deployed six rigs in West Asia.
 

Here's how the stocks reacted on the indices. Prices are those trading at 14.00, Friday:

Company

Price

% Chg

Aban Offshore

1,215

7.70

HDIL

295.5

6.97

Indiabulls Real Estat

190.7

5.45

Bank of Baroda

517

5.44

SpiceJet

44.7

5.40

Nagarjuna Const

153.75

4.86

Omaxe

91.05

4.56

Punj Lloyd

197.05

4.44

DLF

339.1

4.28

Larsen & Toubro

1,562.10

4.20

Unitech

3.05

3.95

Voltas

162

3.31

Hirandanandi Group

 

 

 

 

 

Fear is the cruelest enemy.
 A S R Pratap 



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